Our Key Stats have this week shown up a trend which we cannot ignore for the third one-day international between England and Australia, which starts at the Rose Bowl on Wednesday.

In the six completed Friends Provident Trophy matches – 50-over county contests – the wicket has proved to be excellent to bat on. Six centuries have been scored and there have been 12 50s. The average 50-ups make-up is 100, exactly 30 points higher than Sporting’s buy price and when we have such a stat in our favour it would be pure folly not to take advantage.

Admittedly we are relying on England’s batsmen doing their share of the runscoring but we must put faith in the surface. Indeed, even if England’s batsmen have managed only one 50 between them the law of averages and a batting paradise are on our side.

So good is the track that Ian Bell – who has a reputation for making hay on flat wickets – scored a century at the Rose Bowl when England last played there, and won, against India in 2007.

The law of averages puts us off having another spread wager. Shane Watson has twice made up over his performance quotes in the series and it is hugely tempting to buy again at 60 (Sporting) – 10 points higher than his quote started at it in game one. The Rose Bowl is a ‘home’ ground for the all-rounder having spent some time with Hampshire and he averages a whopping 188 with the bat.

The best way to get with him is to take the 4-5 Bet365 offer that he scores more than 49 performance points (one pt per run, 10 per catch, 20 per wkt).

England are 11-8 generally with Australia 8-13 (Canbet). The hosts, who are 2-0 down, must hit back. The key could be the toss with five of the six FP games won by the side batting first. England have won only twice from eight ODIs in the last year when fielding first.

Bets
Buy 50-ups
2pts at 70 Sporting
S Watson more than 49 performance points
3pts 4-5 Bet365

Comments (1)

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   Posted by ANIL | 09-09-2009 12:26 |