NCAA Picks: West Virginia vs. South Florida

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Last Updated on Thursday, 01 December 2011 16:15
Written by BetRepublic
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It’s all on West Virginia tonight if they even want a piece of the BCS pie and books have favored the Mountaineers by -1.5 points over the South Florida Bulls

THURSDAY COLLEGE PICKS

WEST VIRGINIA AT SOUTH FLORIDA
Sportsbetting.ag Odds: Mountaineers -1.5, Over/Under 55.5
If West Virginia defeats the Bulls this evening they would need Cincinnati to defeat UCONN on Saturday and thus have a three way tie in the Conference. The team that is ranked the highest of the three moves forward. The third team in this equation is Louisville who defeated West Virginia earlier this season.

If the Mountaineers lose and Cincinnati wins, the Bearcats get the BCS automatic Bowl bid. Should the Bearcats and the Mountaineers lose then the Cardinals get the BCS bid.

NCAA OVER/UNDER SYSTEM
There is an interesting scenario that plays out pertaining to the total provided by pro handicapper Greg Dempson.

- When a team with a winning record straight-up has lost ATS by 49 or more combined points in their last five games, play their next game under the total

This applies to a play on the under in tonight's contest as West Virginia is "live" in this scenario. The system shows 1 over and 4 unders this season as well as 15 overs and 44 unders (75-percent) the past five seasons.

When reviewing the history of the previous 59 contests, the average total in this system is 55.5 points which is exactly where the number currently sits. The average combined score is slightly less than 48 points, a converted touchdown difference.

Greg has an opinion on the under in this evening's contest and for more free picks and winning systems stop by his site, Greg Dempson Sports.