German Grand Prix Betting

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Last Updated on Friday, 23rd Jul 2010, 

Written by Anto

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Outright Race Winner Odds (supplied by William Hill):

• Sebastian Vettel – 15/8
• Mark Webber – 11/4
• Lewis Hamilton – 4/1
• Fernando Alonso – 11/2
• Jenson Button – 9/1
• Nico Rosberg – 28/1
• Felipe Massa – 33/1
• Robert Kubica – 50/1
• Michael Schumacher – 50/1
• Adrian Sutil – 150/1
• Rubens Barrichello – 150/1
• Nico Hulkenburg – 200/1
• Kamui Kobayashi – 250/1
• Vitantonio Liuzzi – 250/1
• Pedro de la Rosa – 250/1
• Vitaly Petrov – 400/1
• Sebastien Buemi – 400/1
• Jamie Alguersuari – 400/1
• Heikki Kovalainen – 2500/1
• Jarno Trulli – 2500/1
• Timo Glock – 4000/1
• Lucas di Grassi – 5000/1
• Sakon Yamamoto – 5000/1
• Bruno Senna – 5000/1

This weekend’s race sees only the second German Grand Prix at Hockenheim since 2006 after the race was cancelled in 2007 and the German Grand Prix was held at the Nürburgring in 2009. The winner in that time was Lewis Hamilton, during his Formula One title victory and he took a 5.5 second victory ahead of Nelson Piquet Jr. following an incident packed race. Will Hamilton be able to claim a second win in a row at this track?

Hamilton has been in fine form since he crashed at the Spanish Grand Prix following a puncture that saw him hit the wall two laps from the end, causing him to crash out from second position. Since then he has claimed a fifth place, two victories and two second position, but can he take the first win on slick tyres at Hockenheim since Formula One last raced on slicks in Germany in 1997? According to the odds he is just the third favourite behind the Red Bull cars as they have won both races since Hamilton crossed the line first in Canada, but he, and his McLaren team-mate – Jenson Button – have the most efficient F-duct, and that will give him a major advantage down the three massive straights and the two smaller straights. Will he, and Button, be able to take advantage?

With the F-duct they will stand a major chance of winning, however a lot will depend upon how their blown diffuser update will work after they were forced to remove it following Friday practice at Silverstone. Should it prove effective then I see Hamilton taking victory and a podium place, as I had predicted at Silverstone for them, rather than the second and fourth places that they actually finished in.

However, Red Bull have brought their own upgrades to Germany this weekend and they will be confident of getting their third straight win. Vettel will hope to thrive with the support of the home crowd, while Webber became the first driver to claim three victories at Silverstone two weeks ago. As long as the two drivers do not have another team incident, as they did in Turkey and at Silverstone, then they could be on for a excellent point scoring weekend.

Also, we cannot discount Ferrari to challenge at the sharp end of the grid. They have vastly improved since Canada but fate has conspired against them to keep them down. Will this weekend be the weekend that they claim their first victory of the season since Alonso won in Bahrain in the opening race?

I see the weekend starting off in the standard fashion that it has done for the majority of the season – with a Red Bull on pole position. This weekend I foresee Vettel starting from the front of the grid as he will revel in driving in front of the home support. He, while more inconsistent over longer distances, has the speed to beat Mark Webber over one lap, and my money is on him to top the qualifying timesheets at odds of 6/5.

Can he take the victory from the front of the grid? As I mentioned above, I feel that Vettel is a little inconsistent over race distances. When things are going well for him he is fine, but when there is pressure or incident he can have issues. As a result of this I am backing Lewis Hamilton to take the race win at odds of 4/1. I feel that the upgrades to the McLaren that failed at Silverstone will have been improved to add performance and that Hamilton, a proven race winner on this track, will take the win.

I have two more bets, as usual, in that I will give you the value bets for a podium and top six finish. With the long straights at Hockenheim I can only really see the Red Bulls and McLarens challenging for the podium spots, although Ferrari cannot be written off. However, I can only see Ferrari challenging for a podium spot if troubles happen to one of the four top cars. As a result of that, i’m backing the outsider of the four from Red Bull and McLaren to finish on the podium. My money is on Jenson Button to find himself on the podium at odds of 2/1.

My top six is again the Renault of Robert Kubica. Last time out we were let down due to a retirement from the Polish Renault driver, however due to him saying that he feels he will struggle this weekend and that retirement we can get better than evens odds on his being in the top six at the end of the race. He has finished in the points in all but two of the races so far this season, with his retirement last time out being the second occasion without a point this season. Of the eight times he has finished in the points, six of them have been top six finishes and at better than evens odds this weekend he is a great value bet. Back him to finish in the top six at 5/4.

For all the up-to-date information and updated bets over the race weekend, join me in the BetRepublic.com Formula One Betting Stadium, where they will be chat and plenty of bets up until the start of the race.

BetRepublic.com Recommends:

• Back Sebastian Vettel to start the race on pole @ 6/5
• Back Lewis Hamilton to win the German Grand Prix @ 4/1
• Back Jenson Button to finish on the podium @ 2/1
• Back Robert Kubica to finish in the top six @ 5/4